Costco Wholesale Corporation Stock Performance
Costco Wholesale Corporation shares are trading at $982, reflecting a modest daily gain of 0.12% per SID market data. Over the trailing one-month period, COST has advanced 3.89%, while the three-month return stands at 4.16% and the one-year gain registers at 9.31%. The stock currently trades above both its 50-day moving average of $931.59 and its 200-day moving average of $972.88, indicating sustained upward momentum according to Massive/Polygon technical data. The 14-day relative strength index reads 73.4, placing COST in overbought territory above the conventional 70 threshold. Average daily trading volume sits at approximately 2.52 million shares, supporting consistent liquidity. Costco's market capitalization stands at approximately $392 billion, reinforcing its position as the dominant player in the Consumer Defensive sector. The stock's beta of 0.982 suggests near-market-level volatility, reflecting Costco's defensive characteristics amid broader market fluctuations.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Valuation Analysis
Costco carries a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 47.3, a substantial premium relative to the broader Consumer Defensive sector, per SID market data. The price-to-book ratio stands at approximately 12.96, underscoring the market's willingness to pay significantly above book value for Costco's membership-driven business model and consistent cash flow generation. The PEG ratio registers at -2.13, which reflects distortions in forward growth rate calculations according to available estimates. Costco's dividend yield sits at 0.57%, relatively modest but consistent with the company's capital allocation strategy that historically includes periodic special dividends. Per SEC filings, the company's valuation metrics reflect investor confidence in its durable competitive advantages, including membership renewal rates and scale-driven pricing power. At a $392 billion market capitalization, Costco's premium valuation places it among the most richly valued large-cap retailers in the United States, commanding multiples well above industry medians.
Smart Money Activity for COST
Costco's composite smart money score stands at 39 out of 100, generating a bearish signal per SID market data. The institutional component scores a perfect 25 out of 25, indicating robust and sustained institutional ownership, while other sub-scores lag considerably. The insider trading component registers at 0.0 out of 25, with SEC Form 4 filings revealing 14 transactions over the past 90 days, evenly split between 7 insider buys and 7 insider sells. This balanced activity suggests no strong directional conviction among corporate insiders. The dark pool activity score sits at 9.2 out of 25, indicating moderate but unremarkable off-exchange trading interest. Congressional trading activity scores 4.9 out of 25, reflecting limited disclosed trading by members of Congress according to 13F institutional filings and congressional disclosure reports. The divergence between strong institutional positioning and weak insider and dark pool signals contributes to the overall bearish smart money composite, suggesting that while large institutions maintain significant positions, other sophisticated market participants show limited incremental conviction at current valuation levels.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Earnings Outlook
Costco has delivered four consecutive quarters of earnings beats, according to company earnings reports. In the most recent quarter ending September 2026, Costco reported earnings per share of $6.75 versus analyst estimates of $6.52, representing a positive surprise of $0.23 and the strongest beat in the trailing four-quarter period. The prior quarter showed EPS of $4.93 against estimates of $4.92, a narrow $0.01 beat, while the March quarter posted $4.58 versus $4.55 estimated. The December quarter delivered EPS of $4.50 compared to the consensus estimate of $4.36, a $0.14 upside surprise. The progression from $4.50 to $6.75 in reported EPS across these four periods demonstrates meaningful sequential earnings growth. Costco's consistent pattern of meeting or exceeding analyst estimates reflects operational discipline and effective cost management, per analyst estimates. The widening beat magnitude in the most recent quarter may indicate accelerating fundamental momentum.
Wall Street Analyst Ratings for COST
Recent Wall Street analyst activity on COST shows a mixed but modestly constructive consensus, per SID consensus data. On October 9, 2026, RBC Capital reiterated its Sector Perform rating, maintaining a neutral stance on the stock. Deutsche Bank and Argus Research both reaffirmed bullish ratings on September 28, with Deutsche Bank reiterating a Buy and Argus Research maintaining its Buy recommendation according to Wall Street analyst reports. JP Morgan reiterated an Overweight rating on September 25, signaling continued confidence in Costco's relative outperformance potential. Wells Fargo maintained an Equal-Weight rating on the same date, reflecting a more cautious view at current valuation levels. Among the five most recent analyst actions, three carry bullish designations (Buy or Overweight) while two hold neutral ratings (Sector Perform or Equal-Weight), resulting in no downgrades or sell ratings in the recent coverage window. All five actions represent reiterations of prior ratings, indicating stable analyst sentiment rather than shifting conviction on the stock.