Costco Wholesale Corporation Stock Performance
Costco Wholesale Corporation shares traded at $925.41, posting a modest intraday gain of 0.12% per SID market data. The stock has experienced notable short-term weakness, declining 2.04% over the past month and 3.47% over the trailing three-month period. On a twelve-month basis, COST has posted a modest gain of 3.78%, underperforming broader market indices. The stock currently trades below both its 50-day moving average of $944.82 and its 200-day moving average of $979.83, according to SID market data, indicating a sustained downtrend across multiple timeframes. The 14-day relative strength index stands at 38.6, approaching oversold territory but not yet triggering a classic oversold signal below 30. Costco's beta of 0.982 indicates the stock moves largely in line with the broader market. Average daily trading volume is approximately 2.52 million shares, reflecting consistent institutional participation.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Valuation Analysis
Costco Wholesale Corporation carries a market capitalization of approximately $392 billion and trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.3, per SID market data, representing a significant premium relative to the Consumer Defensive sector average. The price-to-book ratio stands at 12.96, reflecting the market's recognition of Costco's asset-light, membership-driven business model and consistent return on equity. The company offers a dividend yield of 0.57%, according to SEC filings, which remains modest but aligns with management's historical preference for periodic special dividends alongside regular distributions. The PEG ratio registers at negative 2.13, a figure that appears distorted and likely reflects anomalies in forward growth rate estimates used in the calculation rather than signaling fundamental deterioration. Costco's elevated valuation multiples have been a persistent characteristic of the stock, sustained by the company's durable competitive advantages in warehouse retail and its predictable recurring membership revenue stream.
Smart Money Activity for COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation registers a composite smart money score of 46 out of 100, reflecting a neutral overall signal according to SID market data. The institutional component scores a perfect 25 out of 25, indicating robust and sustained holdings among major asset managers and fund complexes. In contrast, the insider activity component scores 0 out of 25, with two insider transactions recorded in the past 90 days — both of which were sales and zero purchases, per SEC Form 4 filings. This absence of insider buying at current price levels is noteworthy given the stock's pullback from recent highs. The dark pool activity component scores 9.4 out of 25, suggesting moderate but not elevated off-exchange institutional accumulation. Congressional trading activity scores 12 out of 25, indicating some legislative interest in the name. The divergence between maximum institutional conviction and absent insider buying creates a mixed signal profile for COST, with no clear directional bias emerging from smart money flows at present levels.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Earnings Outlook
Costco Wholesale Corporation has delivered consistent positive earnings surprises across its three most recently reported quarters. In the quarter ending December 2025, the company reported earnings per share of $4.50, exceeding the consensus estimate of $4.36 by $0.14, per company earnings reports. The March 2026 quarter saw EPS of $4.58 against an estimate of $4.55, a beat of $0.03. Most recently, the May 2026 quarter produced EPS of $4.93 versus the $4.92 consensus, a marginal beat of $0.01, according to analyst estimates. The narrowing surprise trend across consecutive quarters suggests analysts are calibrating estimates closer to actual results. Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for September 24, 2026, with the current consensus estimate at $6.55 per share, representing a significant sequential increase that reflects the company's historically strong fiscal fourth-quarter performance driven by summer and back-to-school demand patterns.
Wall Street Analyst Ratings for COST
Wall Street analyst sentiment on Costco Wholesale Corporation reflects a moderately constructive but not unanimously bullish outlook. Among the most recent ratings actions, BTIG reiterated a Buy rating on September 3, 2026, while JP Morgan maintained its Overweight rating on July 9, 2026, according to Wall Street analyst reports. TD Cowen also reiterated a Buy on June 3, 2026. On the more cautious side, Citigroup initiated coverage with a Neutral rating on June 18, 2026, and DA Davidson maintained its Neutral rating on June 4, 2026, per SID consensus data. The distribution shows three out of five recent ratings favoring a bullish stance, while two firms adopted neutral positions. No recent downgrades or sell ratings have been issued among tracked analysts, which underscores a floor of fundamental support for the stock. The split between Buy-equivalent and Neutral ratings suggests the market is debating whether Costco's premium valuation is fully justified at current price levels near $925.