Walmart Inc. Stock Performance
Walmart Inc. shares are trading at $115.72, reflecting a daily gain of approximately 0.95% per SID market data. Over the trailing one-month period, WMT has risen 2.03%, though the stock has declined 11.0% over three months, indicating recent short-term recovery against a broader pullback. On a twelve-month basis, shares have gained 11.48%, underperforming broader market indices during the same window. The stock currently trades above its 50-day moving average of $114.47, suggesting near-term momentum is building, but remains below the 200-day moving average of $121.71, reflecting the intermediate-term downtrend. The 14-day RSI stands at 74.1, placing WMT in overbought territory according to Massive/Polygon technical data. Walmart's beta of 0.641 confirms its historically defensive posture, exhibiting lower volatility relative to the broader market. Average daily trading volume stands at approximately 20.78 million shares, supporting robust liquidity.
Walmart Inc. Valuation Analysis
Walmart Inc. currently carries a market capitalization of approximately $921.2 billion, making it one of the largest companies in the Consumer Defensive sector, per SID market data. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.21, a notable premium compared to historical averages for the retail industry and the broader consumer staples space. The PEG ratio stands at 5.35, according to SEC filings and derived metrics, suggesting the current earnings multiple is elevated relative to the company's projected earnings growth rate. Walmart's price-to-book ratio of 9.59 further reinforces the premium valuation, reflecting investor willingness to pay significantly above net asset value. The current dividend yield is 0.79%, providing modest income to shareholders. Within the Consumer Defensive sector, these valuation metrics position Walmart at the higher end of the spectrum, consistent with the market pricing in its dominant scale, omnichannel capabilities, and defensive earnings profile amid macroeconomic uncertainty.
Smart Money Activity for WMT
Walmart's composite smart money score stands at 50 out of 100, reflecting a neutral overall signal per SID market data. Institutional positioning is the strongest component, scoring a perfect 25 out of 25, indicating robust and sustained interest from large asset managers as reported in 13F institutional filings. Congressional trading activity scores 12 out of 25, representing moderate engagement from elected officials. In contrast, insider activity scores just 4.0 out of 25, reflecting a relatively cautious posture from company executives and directors. Over the past 90 days, there have been 20 insider transactions filed with the SEC via Form 4, comprising 9 purchases and 11 sales. The slight skew toward insider selling suggests executives have been modestly reducing positions, though the volume of purchases remains notable. Dark pool activity scores 9.3 out of 25, indicating below-average off-exchange institutional accumulation. The divergence between strong institutional conviction and muted insider sentiment warrants monitoring as it may reflect differing time horizons among stakeholder groups.
Walmart Inc. Earnings Outlook
Walmart Inc. faces a series of upcoming earnings reports with consensus analyst estimates reflecting steady profitability expectations. The nearest reporting dates are May 22 and May 26, 2026, with analysts projecting earnings of $0.66 per share for each period, according to consensus analyst estimates compiled by SID. Looking further ahead, the August 20 and August 24, 2026 reporting periods carry higher consensus estimates of $0.74 per share, representing an approximate 12.1% sequential increase from the May figures. This upward trajectory reflects expectations for seasonal strength in Walmart's fiscal calendar, consistent with historically stronger back-half performance driven by elevated consumer spending periods. No actual results have been reported yet for these quarters, leaving the estimates as the primary benchmark. The progression from $0.66 to $0.74 per share across consecutive quarters suggests analysts anticipate incremental margin expansion or revenue acceleration as the fiscal year advances through its typical seasonal cadence.
Wall Street Analyst Ratings for WMT
Recent Wall Street analyst activity on Walmart shows a broadly constructive consensus, with the majority of coverage maintaining positive ratings per SID consensus data. RBC Capital reiterated its Outperform rating on August 12, 2026, having also reaffirmed the same rating on July 22, reflecting sustained confidence in the company's execution. Bernstein maintained its Outperform rating on July 31, while BTIG reiterated a Buy rating on June 8, further reinforcing bullish sentiment. The notable exception came from Oppenheimer, which downgraded WMT to Perform from Outperform on August 4, representing the sole bearish shift among recent analyst actions. Of the five most recent ratings compiled from Wall Street analyst reports, four maintain a positive stance while one reflects a neutral view, resulting in an 80% favorability rate among active coverage. The Oppenheimer downgrade stands as an outlier against otherwise uniform optimism, potentially reflecting firm-specific concerns about valuation at current levels given the elevated 40.2x P/E multiple.