The TJX Companies Stock Performance
The TJX Companies trades at $142.80, reflecting a modest daily decline of 0.36%, per SID market data. Over the trailing one-month period, shares have gained $14.63, demonstrating a notable short-term recovery despite broader weakness. However, the three-month and one-year performance figures reveal declines of 7.73% and 9.09%, respectively, indicating sustained pressure on the stock over longer horizons. From a technical standpoint, TJX currently trades above its 50-day moving average of $137.99 but remains below its 200-day moving average of $152.34, according to Massive/Polygon data. The 14-day RSI reads 77.9, placing the stock in overbought territory and suggesting the recent rally may face resistance. TJX carries a beta of 0.762, indicating lower volatility relative to the broader market. Average daily trading volume stands at approximately 5.2 million shares, supporting adequate liquidity for institutional positioning.
The TJX Companies Valuation Analysis
The TJX Companies carries a market capitalization of approximately $173.2 billion, positioning it as one of the largest off-price retailers globally. Per SID market data, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.22, a premium relative to the broader Consumer Cyclical sector, reflecting the market's recognition of TJX's consistent execution. The PEG ratio stands at 11.61, suggesting that the current P/E multiple significantly outpaces the company's earnings growth rate, according to SEC filings. The price-to-book ratio of 18.72 further underscores this premium valuation, driven largely by TJX's asset-light business model and strong return on equity. The company offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.06%, providing a modest income component for shareholders. While TJX has historically commanded premium multiples due to its resilient off-price model, the elevated PEG ratio indicates that earnings growth expectations may not fully justify current valuation levels.
Smart Money Activity for TJX
The TJX Companies registers a smart money score of 58 out of 100, reflecting a neutral overall signal, per SID market data. Institutional ownership scores a perfect 25 out of 25, indicating overwhelmingly strong positioning among large asset managers and hedge funds, according to 13F institutional filings. Insider activity scores 12.5 out of 25, with one insider transaction recorded over the past 90 days — notably a purchase rather than a sale — which represents a modestly constructive signal from company leadership, per SEC Form 4 filings. Congressional trading activity scores 12 out of 25, reflecting moderate engagement from disclosed legislative portfolios. The dark pool activity score of 8.5 out of 25 suggests relatively limited off-exchange institutional accumulation in the recent period. The combination of maximum institutional conviction alongside neutral-to-modest insider and congressional activity produces the balanced composite score. The lone insider buy within the quarter contrasts favorably against zero insider sales during the same window.
The TJX Companies Earnings Outlook
The TJX Companies has delivered four consecutive quarters of earnings beats, according to company earnings reports. In the most recent quarter, TJX reported earnings per share of $1.22 against a consensus estimate of $1.19, representing a $0.03 positive surprise. The prior quarter saw a more pronounced beat, with actual EPS of $1.19 exceeding the $1.00 estimate by $0.19, or 19%. The fiscal third quarter produced EPS of $1.43 versus estimates of $1.38, a $0.05 surprise, while the fiscal fourth quarter posted $1.28 against $1.23 expected, per analyst estimates. This consistent pattern of outperformance underscores TJX's operational discipline and inventory management capabilities within the off-price retail channel. The sustained beat streak across varying seasonal periods demonstrates the company's ability to manage margins and merchandise procurement effectively regardless of macroeconomic conditions impacting the broader consumer discretionary landscape.
Wall Street Analyst Ratings for TJX
Wall Street consensus on The TJX Companies reflects a generally constructive but recently mixed outlook. On August 26, 2026, Jefferies downgraded TJX from Buy to Hold, representing the most notable recent rating change, per Wall Street analyst reports. This followed a cluster of post-earnings reiterations on August 20, 2026, where UBS and BTIG maintained Buy ratings, Barclays reiterated Overweight, and Wells Fargo held its Equal-Weight stance, according to SID consensus data. The Jefferies downgrade is significant as it marks a shift from a previously bullish stance, potentially reflecting concerns about valuation following the stock's recent one-month rally of $14.63. The majority of covering analysts remain positively disposed, with three of the five most recent ratings carrying buy-equivalent recommendations. The divergence between Jefferies' more cautious positioning and the broader bullish consensus suggests the analyst community is actively debating whether TJX's premium valuation is sustainable at current levels relative to forward growth expectations.