Costco Wholesale Corporation Stock Performance
Costco Wholesale Corporation shares traded at $920.65, reflecting a modest daily gain of 0.12%, per SID market data. Over the trailing one-month period, COST declined 0.84%, while the three-month return registered a steeper loss of 3.11%. On a twelve-month basis, the stock posted a positive return of 7.6%, underperforming broader market indices over the same timeframe. Technically, COST trades below both its 50-day moving average of $933.13 and its 200-day moving average of $973.59, indicating sustained downward pressure relative to intermediate and long-term trend lines, according to Massive/Polygon data. The 14-day relative strength index stands at 50.9, suggesting neutral momentum with no overbought or oversold conditions. Average daily trading volume is approximately 2.52 million shares. The stock's beta of 0.982 indicates volatility roughly in line with the broader market, consistent with its Consumer Defensive sector classification.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Valuation Analysis
Costco carries a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 47.3, a significant premium relative to the broader Consumer Defensive sector, per SID market data. The stock's price-to-book ratio stands at approximately 12.96, reflecting the market's elevated valuation of Costco's asset base and reinforcing the premium embedded in its share price. The PEG ratio is reported at negative 2.13, a figure that complicates traditional growth-adjusted valuation analysis. According to SEC filings, the company's current dividend yield is 0.57%, a relatively modest payout consistent with Costco's historical preference for periodic special dividends over high recurring yields. With a market capitalization of approximately $392 billion, Costco ranks among the largest Consumer Defensive names globally. The valuation metrics collectively suggest the market prices in expectations of durable membership-driven revenue growth and margin resilience, though the elevated P/E leaves limited room for earnings disappointments relative to consensus forecasts.
Smart Money Activity for COST
Costco's composite smart money score stands at 39 out of 100, generating a bearish signal, per SID market data. Institutional positioning receives a perfect score of 25 out of 25, indicating robust fund ownership and sustained allocation by large asset managers, according to 13F institutional filings. However, other components weigh heavily on the overall score. The insider activity metric registers 0.0 out of 25, with SEC Form 4 filings showing 15 insider transactions over the past 90 days — comprising 7 purchases and 8 sales — reflecting a roughly balanced but uninspired pattern from corporate insiders. Dark pool activity scored 9.2 out of 25, suggesting below-average off-exchange accumulation interest. Congressional trading activity contributed just 4.9 out of 25, indicating minimal notable positioning by members of Congress. The divergence between strong institutional conviction and weak readings across insider, dark pool, and congressional channels produces the overall bearish composite signal, warranting close monitoring of whether institutional holders begin reducing positions.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Earnings Outlook
Costco has delivered four consecutive quarters of earnings beats, according to company earnings reports. The most recent quarter posted earnings per share of $6.75 against analyst estimates of $6.52, representing a positive surprise of $0.23 — the largest beat in the trailing four-quarter period. The prior quarter showed EPS of $4.93 versus a $4.92 estimate, a marginal beat of $0.01. Two quarters ago, Costco reported $4.58 per share against expectations of $4.55, a $0.03 upside surprise. The earliest quarter in the dataset reflected EPS of $4.50 versus the $4.36 consensus, a beat of approximately $0.14, per analyst estimates. The pattern reveals consistent but narrowing outperformance in the middle quarters before a notable widening in the most recent period. This streak of beats demonstrates Costco's operational predictability, though the magnitude of surprises remains modest outside the latest reporting period.
Wall Street Analyst Ratings for COST
Wall Street coverage of Costco reflects a mixed but generally constructive consensus, per SID consensus data. In the most recent round of analyst updates dated September 2026, Deutsche Bank reiterated its Buy rating, while Argus Research also maintained a Buy designation, according to Wall Street analyst reports. JP Morgan reaffirmed its Overweight recommendation, signaling continued conviction in the stock's risk-reward profile. However, not all analysts share the bullish outlook. Wells Fargo maintained an Equal-Weight rating, and RBC Capital reiterated its Sector Perform stance, both indicating expectations of market-line returns rather than outperformance. Notably, none of the five most recent analyst actions involved a rating change — all were reiterations of prior positions — suggesting the current trading range near $920.65 has not prompted a fundamental reassessment. The split between two neutral and three bullish ratings indicates majority positive sentiment, though the lack of upgrades or price target revisions suggests limited near-term catalysts in analysts' views.