NVIDIA Corporation Stock Performance
NVIDIA Corporation shares closed at $166.19, gaining 1.43% in the most recent session, though the stock remains under significant near-term pressure. Per SID market data, NVDA has declined 24.9% over the past month and 26.19% over the trailing three months, reflecting a sharp correction from recent highs. On a one-year basis, the stock is down 9.26%, underperforming the broader technology sector. Technical indicators suggest deeply oversold conditions, with the 14-day RSI reading at 24.5, well below the conventional 30 threshold. The stock trades substantially below both its 50-day moving average of $215.96 and its 200-day moving average of $204.27, according to Massive/Polygon data, indicating a firmly bearish technical posture. NVDA carries a beta of 2.284, confirming its elevated volatility relative to the broader market. Average daily volume stands at approximately 193.4 million shares, reflecting exceptionally high liquidity.
NVIDIA Corporation Valuation Analysis
NVIDIA Corporation currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.38, reflecting a premium valuation consistent with its position as a leading AI semiconductor company, per SID market data. The PEG ratio stands at 3.02, suggesting the stock's valuation exceeds its expected earnings growth rate on a relative basis. According to SEC filings and derived metrics, NVDA's price-to-book ratio sits at 37.03, while its price-to-sales ratio registers at 23.37, both elevated figures that underscore the market's high expectations for future revenue and margin expansion. The company's dividend yield is negligible at approximately 0.02%, indicating that NVIDIA prioritizes capital reinvestment over shareholder distributions. With a market capitalization of approximately $4.41 trillion, NVIDIA remains one of the most valuable publicly traded companies globally. These valuation multiples have compressed meaningfully alongside the recent price decline but remain above historical averages for the semiconductor industry.
Smart Money Activity for NVDA
Smart money indicators for NVIDIA present a mixed picture, with an overall composite score of 45 out of 100, registering a neutral signal per SID market data. Institutional positioning scores a perfect 25 out of 25, indicating maximum conviction from large fund managers and asset allocators as reflected in 13F institutional filings. However, insider activity paints a contrasting narrative, scoring 0 out of 25. According to SEC Form 4 filings, there have been 20 insider transactions over the past 90 days, comprising 19 sells and only 1 buy, a notably lopsided ratio suggesting executives have been consistently reducing personal exposure. Dark pool activity scores 9 out of 25, indicating below-average institutional accumulation through off-exchange venues. Congressional trading activity registers at 11.2 out of 25, reflecting moderate levels of legislative member interest. The divergence between strong institutional ownership and persistent insider selling warrants close monitoring as it may signal differing views on near-term versus long-term valuation among informed market participants.
NVIDIA Corporation Earnings Outlook
NVIDIA Corporation's most recently reported quarter delivered earnings per share of $2.22, surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of $2.09 by $0.13, representing a positive surprise of approximately 6.2%, according to company earnings reports. Looking ahead, Wall Street analysts project continued earnings growth, with the next upcoming quarter carrying an EPS estimate of $1.76 per analyst estimates. Subsequent quarterly estimates stand at $2.48 for two consecutive forward periods, implying expectations of sequential acceleration in profitability. The earnings trajectory reflects anticipated demand growth driven by data center and AI-related GPU shipments. The next scheduled earnings report date is May 27, 2026, which will be a critical catalyst for price direction given the stock's recent sharp correction. If NVIDIA maintains its pattern of exceeding estimates, the current oversold technical conditions could provide a foundation for recovery, though forward estimates embed substantial growth assumptions.
Wall Street Analyst Ratings for NVDA
Wall Street analyst sentiment toward NVIDIA remains predominantly bullish despite the stock's recent drawdown. In the most recent round of ratings issued on November 12, 2026, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Needham all reiterated Buy ratings on NVDA, per Wall Street analyst reports, signaling continued confidence in the company's fundamental trajectory. Baird maintained its Neutral stance, reiterating a more cautious outlook. Notably, StoneX downgraded NVDA from Buy to Hold, marking a departure from the prevailing consensus and representing the most significant rating change in the latest cycle, according to SID consensus data. The downgrade from StoneX stands out against the otherwise supportive analyst backdrop, potentially reflecting concerns about valuation sustainability or near-term demand visibility. With three of five recent analyst actions affirming Buy ratings, the consensus skews constructive. However, the emergence of downgrades amid a 24.9% monthly decline suggests some analysts are reassessing risk-reward dynamics at current levels.