Yahoo · Oct 7, 2026
ExxonMobil Surges 44% in a Year: Should Investors Bet on the Momentum?
XOM's 44.3% one-year surge, high oil prices and low-cost production support its outlook, but a premium valuation suggests patience.

NYSE · XOM
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
$164.48
Down-$0.42 (-0.26%)
Updated Oct 7, 2026, 8:49 PM
SID Score
7.5/10
Composite research score
Smart Money
52/100
Neutral
Price performance · XOM
1M range · 21 trading sessions · Daily adjusted prices
Prices through Oct 6, 2026
XOM closed at $164.48 after 21 trading sessions, up 2.38% for the selected period.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | $163.06 | $165.945 | $162.94 | $164.48 | 9.28M |
| Oct 5, 2026 | $163.76 | $164.74 | $161.3932 | $164.00 | 12.48M |
| Oct 2, 2026 | $161.55 | $164.61 | $161.55 | $164.01 | 11.29M |
| Oct 1, 2026 | $161.50 | $164.075 | $160.8053 | $163.82 | 11.71M |
| Sep 30, 2026 | $162.23 | $164.3699 | $161.80 | $162.75 | 13.1M |
| Sep 29, 2026 | $160.215 | $161.965 | $159.27 | $161.35 | 9.16M |
| Sep 28, 2026 | $162.80 | $163.54 | $161.05 | $162.52 | 12.81M |
| Sep 25, 2026 | $160.23 | $161.79 | $159.78 | $160.59 | 11M |
| Sep 24, 2026 | $163.055 | $164.9099 | $161.20 | $162.14 | 12.48M |
| Sep 23, 2026 | $159.62 | $162.1199 | $159.4206 | $161.23 | 12.58M |
| Sep 22, 2026 | $157.53 | $159.97 | $155.85 | $158.71 | 14.19M |
| Sep 21, 2026 | $160.96 | $161.9499 | $157.94 | $158.30 | 15.75M |
| Sep 18, 2026 | $162.50 | $163.54 | $161.31 | $163.54 | 37.64M |
| Sep 17, 2026 | $161.83 | $163.385 | $161.445 | $163.27 | 10.98M |
| Sep 16, 2026 | $167.23 | $167.495 | $162.56 | $163.32 | 13.45M |
| Sep 15, 2026 | $165.36 | $169.64 | $165.15 | $169.32 | 12.34M |
| Sep 14, 2026 | $168.70 | $169.45 | $164.04 | $165.08 | 13.95M |
| Sep 11, 2026 | $165.07 | $167.09 | $164.08 | $165.99 | 11.37M |
| Sep 10, 2026 | $167.00 | $167.37 | $163.18 | $165.23 | 16.62M |
| Sep 9, 2026 | $162.875 | $165.18 | $162.55 | $164.23 | 13.13M |
| Sep 8, 2026 | $160.61 | $163.11 | $158.75 | $160.66 | 12.62M |
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Company
Market Activity
Research & News
XOM research
Company profile and research snapshot.
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2024, it produced 3.0 million barrels of liquids and 8.1 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Visit company websiteConsensus and target data currently published for this company.
| Date | Firm | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | — |
| Sep 28, 2026 | TD Cowen | Buy | — |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Neutral | — |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | — |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Barclays | Overweight | — |
No generated briefing is available yet.
Yahoo · Oct 7, 2026
XOM's 44.3% one-year surge, high oil prices and low-cost production support its outlook, but a premium valuation suggests patience.
Yahoo · Oct 7, 2026
T-bill yields are running higher than Exxon's dividend right now, but that gap shrinks fast once taxes, reinvestment risk, and a 43-year streak of dividend growth enter the picture.
Yahoo · Oct 7, 2026
MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif., October 07, 2026--At AeraHUB 26, Aera Technology’s global decision intelligence event, enterprises share how they’re applying AI to the decisions that run the business.
Yahoo · Oct 7, 2026
Energy ETFs are gaining as bond-market turmoil cools, with high oil prices supporting energy stocks while yield stabilization could lift sentiment.
Interpretive context generated from the platform’s current data sources.
Exxon Mobil Corporation shares closed at $164.48, gaining 0.79% in the latest session, per SID market data. The stock has demonstrated strong momentum over the trailing twelve months, rising 38.81% year-over-year, while posting a 15.75% gain over the past three months and a modest 1.1% increase over the trailing one-month period. XOM currently trades above both its 50-day moving average of $160.68 and its 200-day moving average of $152.84, indicating a sustained uptrend according to Massive/Polygon technical data. However, the 14-day relative strength index registers at 38.3, placing the stock closer to oversold territory and suggesting recent selling pressure despite the broader uptrend. Exxon Mobil carries a beta of 0.379, reflecting significantly lower volatility than the broader market. Average daily volume stands at approximately 14.78 million shares, supporting robust liquidity for the $504.1 billion market capitalization energy giant.
Exxon Mobil currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.28, per SID market data, which represents a moderate valuation within the energy sector where cyclical earnings fluctuations heavily influence multiples. The company's price-to-book ratio stands at 1.99, according to SEC filings, indicating the stock trades at roughly twice its book value. Exxon Mobil offers a dividend yield of 3.35%, providing meaningful income for shareholders in a sector where capital return programs remain central to investment theses. The PEG ratio registers at a deeply negative -121.86, a figure driven by negative or near-zero earnings growth estimates, which limits the metric's analytical utility in assessing forward valuation. With a market capitalization of approximately $504.1 billion, Exxon Mobil remains the largest publicly traded integrated oil and gas company. Investors should note that energy sector valuations remain heavily tethered to commodity price trajectories and global demand forecasts.
Exxon Mobil's composite smart money score stands at 52 out of 100, reflecting a neutral overall signal, according to SID market data. Breaking down the components, institutional activity scores a perfect 25 out of 25, indicating maximum bullish positioning from large fund managers as reported in 13F institutional filings. This robust institutional conviction contrasts sharply with more subdued readings in other categories. Insider activity registers at 12.5 out of 25, suggesting a mixed pattern among corporate officers and directors per SEC Form 4 filings, with no overwhelming directional bias in recent transactions. Dark pool activity scores 9.4 out of 25, pointing to below-average accumulation through off-exchange venues. Congressional trading activity is notably low at 4.7 out of 25, indicating minimal recent buying or selling activity among members of Congress. The divergence between strong institutional support and weaker dark pool and congressional signals produces the overall neutral composite reading for XOM.
Exxon Mobil's recent earnings results present a mixed picture, according to company earnings reports. In the most recently completed quarter, the company reported earnings per share of $1.16 against analyst estimates of $1.02, delivering a positive surprise of $0.14 and reflecting stronger-than-expected operational performance. However, the following quarter saw EPS of $3.52, missing the consensus estimate of $3.76 by $0.24, marking a negative surprise per analyst estimates. Looking ahead, Wall Street analysts project EPS of $1.45 for the upcoming reporting period on April 28, while the subsequent quarter carries a consensus estimate of $3.80 with results expected on October 30. The sequential earnings estimates suggest a significant ramp from $1.45 to $3.80, a pattern consistent with seasonal demand variations in the energy sector. These projections will remain sensitive to crude oil and natural gas price movements throughout the forecast period.
Wall Street coverage of Exxon Mobil reflects a predominantly constructive outlook, though a notable recent downgrade introduces caution, per Wall Street analyst reports. On October 1, 2026, Wells Fargo downgraded XOM from Overweight to Equal-Weight, representing the most significant rating change in the recent coverage period. This contrasts with sustained bullish positioning from several major firms: TD Cowen reiterated a Buy rating on September 28, while Morgan Stanley maintained its Overweight rating on August 19, and Barclays reiterated Overweight on August 17, according to SID consensus data. Piper Sandler maintained a Neutral stance on September 3, aligning with the more measured view. The Wells Fargo downgrade is particularly noteworthy given that it shifted from the bullish camp, potentially reflecting concerns about commodity price headwinds or valuation at current levels. With three of five recent ratings at Overweight or Buy, the overall analyst consensus maintains a positive tilt for Exxon Mobil shares.


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